Duration Capital
Alpha Specialist
Specialist in uncorrelated alpha generation. Provides a comprehensive suite of customized solutions for institutional investors, RIAs, and taxable high-net-worth clients. Independently audited duration alpha delivered through the QuAD model framework — across active fixed income, portable alpha, absolute return, multi-asset and tax-aware strategies for institutional investors, RIAs, and ETF partners.
Founded2013
Track Record12 Years
QuAD ModelsU.S., Germany, U.K.
InstrumentsBond Futures
HQGarden City, NY
DateApril 2026
01 Value-Added Differentiation

Duration Capital is a specialist active duration manager — a category almost entirely absent from the fixed income landscape. The vast majority of fixed income managers focus on credit management: selecting bonds, adjusting credit quality, and allocating across sectors. Duration risk — the primary risk in fixed income — is largely left unmanaged. Duration Capital fills that gap, delivering a 12-year independently audited track record of uncorrelated alpha through systematic, active duration management via liquid Treasury futures.

12
Years of Audited
Duration Alpha
+210 to +560 bps
Gross Annualized
Alpha Range
−0.2
Correlation to
Equities
−0.0
Correlation to
Treasuries

Core Value Proposition: Duration Capital manages risks other fixed income managers ignore. With an industry focused on credit and sector allocation, duration is unmanaged. Duration Capital fills that gap: active duration management producing uncorrelated alpha, delivered through liquid Treasury futures with structural tax advantages, liquidity, and transparency.

What Sets Duration Capital Apart
Duration vs. Credit — A Fundamental Distinction
Traditional fixed income managers primarily focus on idiosyncratic credit risks. Duration Capital actively manages the systematic risk (duration) as a standalone alpha source.
Independently Audited Track Record
All trade signals are time-stamped on TimerTrac.com and independently audited by Alpha Performance Verification Services. This is a live, documented signal history — not a backtest.
Overlay Architecture — Alpha Without Disruption
The overlay executes all active decisions through bond futures, leaving the underlying portfolio untouched and avoids high bond trading costs.
Market Inefficiency Opportunity
Developed interest rate markets are structurally inefficient — many large participants (corporate treasurers, pension funds, central banks) are not profit-maximizers.
Tax-Efficient Delivery
The portable alpha structure creates a structural tax advantage as bond futures receive Section 1256 capital gains treatment regardless of holding period.
Award-Winning Performance
Best Hedge Fund in Global Interest Rate Alpha (2018–2019). Achieved multiple 5 Star Morningstar Ratings for active fixed income funds (2024, 2025).
Complete Liquidity
Every strategy Duration Capital manages trades exclusively in liquid, exchange-traded sovereign bond futures. No lock-ups, no gates, no side pockets, and no illiquidity.
Superior After-Tax Returns
Unlike Duration Capital, active bond managers and hedge funds are high-frequency traders that generate short-term gains which erode alpha and result in low after-tax returns.
Genuine Uncorrelated Alpha — A Rare Attribute
Duration Capital's return stream is uncorrelated to virtually every other investment strategy and asset market — equities, bonds, credit, hedge funds, and managed futures. This is not a matter of degree; it is a structural feature of how the strategy is constructed (unbiased long/short exposure). Most strategies marketed as "diversifiers" retain hidden correlations to equity beta or credit spreads, particularly in stressed markets.
02 QuAD Model Framework

QuAD = Quantitative Active Duration. Duration Capital's proprietary, evidence-based framework for forecasting interest rate movements and generating active duration positioning signals. Grounded in over 80 years of research data, QuAD combines a diversified set of macroeconomic, technical, and valuation indicators to produce a composite expected bond return forecast that determines both directional positioning and exposure sizing.

Key Differentiating Characteristics: Short-term forecast horizon aligned with fundamental information cycles (avoids long and variable lags); hard data only — no soft consensus-based indicators; and a comprehensive multi-factor structure combining economy, inflation, value, and technical signals.

Factor Composites
Economic
Are measures of the economy expanding or contracting?
$
Inflation
Are price levels accelerating or decelerating?
Fed Policy
Is current policy restrictive or accommodative?
Valuation
Are current valuation levels higher or lower than valuation thresholds?
Technicals
Are current bond market technicals negative or positive?
Model Output & Position Sizing

The QuAD model produces a bond return forecast for the next period (t+1), which determines both directional positioning (long or short duration) and the degree of active duration risk. The relationship between forecast magnitude and position size is non-linear with small forecasts generating small positions; large, high-conviction forecasts generate proportionally larger positions. This approach maximizes information ratio and avoids over-trading on marginal signals.

The duration dial represents the active risk parameter of the futures overlay position of the portfolio — the range of duration risk exposure the overlay can take, long or short. This range is fully customizable to match each client's risk objectives and mandate constraints. Our baseline duration overlay strategies are: Conservative ±5 Years, Moderate ±10 Years, and Aggressive ±20 Years.

Futures 2%
Short − x years
Long + x years
QuAD Country Model Alpha

Overlay portfolios consist exclusively of a dedicated futures account that actively positions portfolio duration through liquid, exchange-traded sovereign bond futures (long or short). Only 1–2% of portfolio assets are required as margin; 98–99% of capital remains in the underlying program.

United States (Treasury)
+230 to +460 bps
US Treasury Futures
US rates model. Available for US-focused overlay and portable alpha applications. Applies QuAD framework to Federal Reserve policy and US macro dynamics. 12-year independently audited track record.
Germany (Bund)
+210 to +420 bps
Euro Bund Futures
Euro-area rates model. Available for European-focused overlay and portable alpha applications. Extends the QuAD framework to ECB policy and Eurozone macro dynamics. 12-year independently audited track record.
United Kingdom (Gilt)
+280 to +560 bps
Long Gilt Futures
Sterling rates model. Available for UK-focused overlay applications. Developed under the same factor framework applied to Bank of England policy and UK macro data. 12-year independently audited track record.
G3 Composite
+240 to +480 bps
US, Bund & Gilt Futures
Combined signal across US, Germany, and UK models. Designed for global macro overlay and multi-country sovereign rate portfolios.

Context on Alpha Ranges: Gross alpha figures above are annualized statistics. For context, top-decile active fixed income managers are estimated to generate approximately 50 basis points of gross alpha — a benchmark sourced from third-party research by AQR and Bloomberg.

Source: Alpha Performance Verification Services. Performance shown from May 2022 through March 2026. Audited returns through March 2025; estimated returns thereafter. Returns are gross of fees. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Top-decile bond managers typically generate between 30 to 80 bps of alpha; Duration Capital's strategies have generated approx. 200 to 900 bps depending on the strategy's active risk profile. All QuAD trade signals are time-stamped on TimerTrac.com at the point of trade signal generation — proving this is a live, documented track record and not a backtest. Country model overlay (futures) returns are independently calculated and audited by Alpha Performance Verification Services. Audit coverage: January 2014 through March 2025; estimated returns April 2025 onwards.

03 Investment Strategies

Duration Capital offers a suite of customizable strategies, all powered by the QuAD systematic model, implemented through liquid exchange-traded bond futures. Each strategy targets a distinct investor need — from portable alpha overlays and active fixed income to absolute return and tax-aware structures.

Active Fixed Income
A suite of active fixed income strategies, all powered by the QuAD model and implemented through US Treasury futures. Each sub-strategy is structured to serve a distinct investor type, account type, or distribution channel.
Active Core Bond
Top-decile performance within Intermediate Core Bond Peer Group. Duration overlay added +260 bps annualized alpha from 2022–2025. Product designed to replace or complement core fixed income allocations with a demonstrably superior risk-adjusted return profile.
Separately Managed Account Morningstar 5-Star 2024 & 2025 4-Year Track Record
SMArtX Model Portfolio
Live on the SMArtX UMA platform since April 2018. Product designed to replace or complement core fixed income allocations with a demonstrably superior risk-adjusted return profile. Verified track record with +2.55% average annualized alpha versus the Morningstar US Core Bond TR index. Available to RIAs and IBDs through the SMArtX platform.
RIA / IBD SMArtX Platform 8-Year Track Record
TaxAware Core Bond
Product designed to replace active fixed income allocations with demonstrably superior after-tax returns. Duration (futures) overlay provides structural tax advantage unavailable to traditional active bond managers. Duration overlay is combined with passive core bond holding limiting taxable gains. Particularly compelling for taxable high-net-worth clients and family offices.
Separately Managed Account Taxable Accounts HNW / Family Office Section 1256 4-Year Track Record
Active Treasury Bond
Top-decile performance within Morningstar's Intermediate Treasury Bond Peer Group. Duration overlay added +280 bps annualized alpha from 2022–2025. Product designed to replace treasury bond exposure with a demonstrably superior risk-adjusted return profile.
Separately Managed Account Retail / Institutional Morningstar 5-Star 2025 4-Year Track Record
Absolute Return US Rates
Unconstrained long/short rates strategy with non-credit, non-equity exposure leading to consistent zero correlation to equity, bond, hedge fund and other managed futures strategies. Alpha has been consistent over various economic and market environments. Ideal for institutional allocation buckets seeking non-correlated returns with liquid instruments.
Absolute Return Unconstrained Institutional
Absolute Return QuAD Macro
A diversified, liquid, and tax-efficient investment strategy with structural flexibility to navigate all macro environments (inflation, deflation, growth scare, or tail risk outcomes). Offering genuine market regime diversification designed to compound wealth by limiting drawdowns and reducing volatility.
Global Macro Institutional Multi-Asset
04 Client Services

As a specialist portable alpha manager, Duration Capital has deep experience meeting the needs of sophisticated institutional clients and RIAs nationally. We work alongside our clients to tailor a custom strategy to fit their return objectives. With decades of experience advising institutional clients we bring sophistication, independence, and market awareness coupled with the practicality and perspective shaped by years navigating real-world investment challenges. Our goal is simple: to help investors build smarter, more resilient portfolios — without the noise, sales pressure, or generic standardized advice.

Trade Signal Research
Provide ongoing trade signals to strategic partners to assist in managing their investment portfolios. Our research has been the backbone of multiple active exchange-traded funds and mutual funds.
Sub-Advised PM
Specialist sub-adviser offering third-party portfolio management of active fixed income, absolute return and multi-asset strategies. Developed, launched and managed multiple 5 Star Morningstar rated 40 Act Funds.
Managed Accounts
Offering a variety of active fixed income, absolute return or multi-asset investment strategies to HNW and institutional investors. Strategies can be customized to meet end-client risk-adjusted return objectives.
Alpha Model Development
Development of various dynamic alpha models with specialized expertise across global rate markets and tail risk hedging strategies.
Thought Leadership
Development of research and commentary on various topics including: active fixed income, hedge funds, alternative investing, multi-asset portfolios, tactical allocation strategies.
05 Targeted Prospects

Duration Capital's strategies serve a range of institutional, intermediary, and high-net-worth clients. The common thread is a need for genuine alpha from rates without increasing credit, equity, or illiquidity exposure. The firm's overlay structure, tax efficiency, and audited track record resonate across all segments. Primary geography: United States. European opportunities are being evaluated on a selective basis, particularly for institutional clients with existing Bund or Gilt exposure who could benefit from the Germany, UK, or G3 Composite models.

Primary Prospect Categories
Institutional
Pension Funds
Liability-driven investors seeking duration overlay solutions that add alpha without restructuring existing bond holdings. Portable alpha architecture is ideally suited to LDI programs.
Institutional
Endowments & Foundations
Long-horizon allocators seeking genuine diversification. The low/negative equity correlation of Duration Capital's strategies provides true portfolio ballast.
Institutional
Insurance Companies
Fixed income-heavy balance sheets looking to improve yield without adding credit risk. The futures overlay enhances returns on an existing bond portfolio with no restructuring required.
Institutional
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Global macro investors with developed market rates allocations. The G3 Composite model and country-specific overlays are directly applicable.
Intermediary
RIAs & IBDs
Registered investment advisors seeking differentiated fixed income for client portfolios. Available via the SMArtX UMA platform (DA Tactical Fixed Income model) with an 8-year verified track record.
Intermediary
Wealth Managers & Family Offices
Taxable high-net-worth and ultra-HNW clients for whom the Section 1256 tax advantage of futures is a significant structural benefit. The TaxAware Core Bond strategy is specifically designed for this segment.
Product Partner
ETF Sponsors
Asset managers and ETF sponsors seeking to sub-advise or white-label an active duration strategy with a live, audited track record. KDRN provides a proof-of-concept vehicle.
Product Partner
OCIO & Outsourced CIOs
Delegated investment managers looking to add differentiated fixed income alpha for institutional client portfolios. Portable alpha overlays work across all underlying mandates.
Product Partner
Platform Partners
UMA/SMA platforms (e.g., SMArtX, Envestnet, Orion) as distribution channels for the DA Tactical Fixed Income model and future branded model portfolios.
06 Firm Background

Duration Capital LLC (Garden City, NY) was established in 2013 and is the owner of the QuAD duration models, which have generated independently audited uncorrelated alpha over a 12-year track record. Duration Capital also pioneered and launched the industry's first active duration fixed income ETF and mutual fund (2022), managed multiple 5-Star Morningstar-ranked active fixed income funds (2024, 2025), been named Best Hedge Fund in Global Interest Rate Alpha (2018–2019), and designed custom long/short futures overlay SMA strategies for institutional clients. The firm's portfolio manager's experience incorporates global macro hedge fund PM experience and merging multiple alternative investment firms into a $2 billion global rates asset manager, achieving top-quartile performance and earning multiple industry awards.